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Taiwan: China's next target? | DW Analysis
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Taiwan: China's next target? | DW Analysis
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•Sep 18, 2020
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Despite China’s increasingly aggressive behaviour both at home and abroad, Beijing’s open threat to take control of Taiwan by force is receiving comparatively little attention – leaving this flourishing liberal democracy uniquely isolated and vulnerable. The threat may be far more imminent than many imagine. According to Taiwan’s Foreign Minister Joseph Wu “the Chinese authoritarian leaders may find Taiwan as a convenient scapegoat. Therefore Taiwan needs to be doubly concerned about a possible Chinese use of force against us.”
CHAPTERS
5:09 What is Taiwan?
16:05 Why China wants Taiwan
26:25 Scenario 1: Chipping away
33:10 Scenario 2: Crimea 2.0
41:18 Scenario 3: Invasion
49:05 What now?
In this video DW's Chief International Editor Richard Walker explores the roots of the threat in depth – aided by military and strategy experts from Taiwan, China, the United States and Germany. He charts the dramatic expansion in Beijing’s navy and advanced missile arsenal that is shifting the balance of power against the U.S. in the Pacific. The video examines three possible scenarios: China gradually chipping away at Taiwan’s stability via military and hybrid means; a sudden, Crimea-style annexation of outlying islands; and a full-scale invasion. This final scenario would pose extremely dangerous for global stability. “Everything that happens in this scenario happens under the shadow of a potential nuclear war,” warns Ian Easton, author of “The China Invasion Threat.”
Adding to Taiwan’s profound vulnerability, there is growing doubt that the any country would come to its aid in the event of Chinese military action – or even have the capability to do so. “Even five years ago, the ability of the United States to come to Taiwan’s defense was greater than it is today,” warns Bonnie Glaser, one of Washington’s top experts on the region. “It has eroded over the last decade. And that is, I think, problematic.”
In the U.S., Congressman Ted Yoho of the House Foreign Affairs Committee explains his bill that would commit the U.S. to come to Taiwan’s defence, ending the longstanding “strategic ambiguity” that he and some experts see as destabilizing. But could this in itself pose greater dangers? Europe must also take the threat more seriously, argues leading German expert Janka Oertel. “We have not devoted enough energy to these kinds of scenarios. What we lack is a European conversation about what kind of player Europe in the future would like to be in these kinds of scenarios.” m concludes with a passionate plea from Joseph Wu for democracies to end Taiwan’s diplomatic isolation from global bodies like the U.N. and the World Health Organization: “It's not fair to the Taiwanese people.”
What should the democratic world do to minimize the risk of an open conflict between China and Taiwan?
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#China #Taiwan #CrossStraitRelations
22,479 Comments
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Jarid Gaming
Jarid Gaming
7 months ago
Stop calling chinas Concentration Camps "Reeducation Camps"
3.7K
Artila Huang
Artila Huang
4 days ago
As a Taiwanese, thanks for all blessem.
Let's just hope the war will never begin.
30
Sokka
Sokka
1 week ago
i find it so funny that when the girl was being arrested she was diligent enough to put a mask on beforehand
14
2 1
2 1
3 weeks ago
Always stay awake, Taiwan! I send a huge endorsement !!
81
hoze cardona
hoze cardona
1 month ago
#SupportTaiwan 🇹🇼🇹🇼
42
William
William
4 months ago
Why is it that when people say something so evil, people can't seem to believe it? Xi Jin Ping said, yes we will attack Taiwan if needed. All interpreters are like... it's unclear what they will do.
777
serigala jawa
serigala jawa
1 day ago
Taiwan !!! dont give up. never give up.
3
mark72141
mark72141
3 weeks ago
Let's not focus only on Taiwan. The Philippines is as serious.
15
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